Comments on: A Wager on the Turing Test: Why I Think I Will Win http://www.kurzweilai.net/a-wager-on-the-turing-test-why-i-think-i-will-win Accelerating Intelligence Mon, 20 May 2013 02:04:06 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.4.1 By: xxdanbrowne http://www.kurzweilai.net/a-wager-on-the-turing-test-why-i-think-i-will-win/comment-page-1#comment-2549 xxdanbrowne Wed, 16 Feb 2011 18:22:43 +0000 http://www.kurzweilai.net/a-wager-on-the-turing-test-why-i-think-i-will-win#comment-2549 Hi Ray, I'm very excited to see Watson play jeopardy soon and like you I think you will win the bet with Mitch. Where I break ranks, however, is in suggesting that passing the Turing test per se makes a computer system equivalent to general human intelligence. Instead it could reasonably be argued that it will make a computer equivalent to a functional idiot savant who can answer questions on a variety of topics. Could it, however, philosophize on it's own and synthesize from disparate blocks of information? I doubt it if the minimum bar of the Turing test is considered. That said, I both believe that the ability to philosophize and synthesize could be designed in rather quickly (less than a decade) after the turing test is passed and secondly that a chatbot agent like Watson with just a handful of improvements is a "good enough" tool for most humans and one with synthetic reasoning skills would make an excellent research assistant. Exciting times! Hi Ray,
I’m very excited to see Watson play jeopardy soon and like you I think you will win the bet with Mitch. Where I break ranks, however, is in suggesting that passing the Turing test per se makes a computer system equivalent to general human intelligence. Instead it could reasonably be argued that it will make a computer equivalent to a functional idiot savant who can answer questions on a variety of topics. Could it, however, philosophize on it’s own and synthesize from disparate blocks of information? I doubt it if the minimum bar of the Turing test is considered. That said, I both believe that the ability to philosophize and synthesize could be designed in rather quickly (less than a decade) after the turing test is passed and secondly that a chatbot agent like Watson with just a handful of improvements is a “good enough” tool for most humans and one with synthetic reasoning skills would make an excellent research assistant.

Exciting times!

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