A whole list of reasons that often work against us – this tendency to consider the future as absolutely unpredictable, or our sheer disinterest in at least trying, is often what results in failing to engage with the world as you otherwise should to get the better results you want; whether an individual, or as big as, well, anything really.

Is methodology important? Obviously, and the failure to have a sound one is often where these bias come from….had more political forecasters been more engaged and employing a more sound methodology, that picks at the salient patterns, they would have been just as successful as Nate Silver in predicting Obama’s victory.

This isn’t rhetoric and fancy-talk – it has real consequences whether something minor or as big as an election….point blank, many people generally don’t care about trying to see into the future, and often when they do, it’s based off of something less-then-perfect, such as their own (adopted) philosophy or methodology that isn’t optimal.

One can argue that I’m making this vastly more terse then it needs to be: indeed, as before, how much you care about the future depends alot on your personality and how you even see it….my whole point is that, as a whole, it would do plenty good for their to be more accurate forecasters in, well, as many aspects of life as possible because they are ultimately what we end up basing our expectations and decisions on….for all the blase-attitude people may have about the future, they truly do think about it…just perhaps not as much or as optimally as they should, and as with the election, it ends up having very real consequences that can be very good, or very bad.

Obviously my post covers and implies at alot of things, but to wrap it up….covering, specifically, major technology trends more as Kurzweil does, would be a fantastic idea in alot of sectors…because ultimately, there is very little that is just as pervasive as technology…a little foresight would only enable good proactive decision-making when they hit the streets and “appear out of nowhere”.