http://www.wired.com/wiredscience/2009/04/newtonai/

Even more so is he wrong about our ability to learn how neurons work and interact with each other. More and more researchers are discovering the basics of neural processes. With every new experiment we learn in greater detail how individual clusters of neurons interact. Through this data, the already existing AI can assist us in developing new methods for testing simulated neural models. As a programmer you would think he would understand this. Researchers already know that computers and our brains are in a similar language. Using what we’ve learned from these experiments will help us build more realistic AI. For example, through experimentation we know that neural connectivity is a form of reward/punishment system. If you are receiving data good, strengthen this connection, if you aren’t, then bad, you have contribute nothing. Nerve clusters at the eyes, ears, nose, and tongue, show us that more information leads to greater connectivity. A reason our noses are less important to us then they are to dogs.

http://articles.cnn.com/2004-11-02/tech/brain.dish_1_brain-cells-neurons-brain-works?_s=PM:TECH
http://www.wired.com/wiredscience/2008/08/how-to-train-yo/
http://www.nytimes.com/2008/05/29/science/29brain.html

Also, his accusations of brittleness, “their performance boundaries are rigidly set by their internal assumptions and defining algorithms, they cannot generalize” are completely outdated. MIT researchers programmed a bot capable of reading and learning a game. Examples of this will continue to pop up as programming becomes a second language and likely a required class in the future.

http://web.mit.edu/newsoffice/2011/language-from-games-0712.html

So AI is already learning, it may only be learning at small levels of a grasshopper or a fruit fly, only able to handle so many computations within its given computer before lagging, but its still learning, something I think is light years ahead of the 80′s and yet a doubling every year and a half will allow us to go further.

And this is with us not even coming close to exhausting all of our options or methods of simulation. We still have cloud based, neural networking/AI that we could try where either large servers could connect with other servers to assist in neural networking experiments, or where millions of personal computers simulate clusters of neurons receiving input from other clusters. We can still integrate multiple promising systems together, for example the two mentioned above and watson. The point is there is a lot to still try and we are already making huge leaps without resorting to other methods, what makes him think we will not accelerate our understanding.

Either ignorance in part of the facts, or maybe just a rigid predefined algorithm.

Here’s a favorite line I often quote:

“Doctors’ pills give you brand new ills
And the bills bury you like an avalanche
And lawyers haven’t been this popular
Since Robespierre slaughtered half of France!”
-Joni Mitchell
© 1994; Crazy Crow Music
Please respect the copyright owner by not profiting from this quote.

Summary of my thoughts based on Internet memes and patterns can be found here: http://anandcv.wordpress.com/2011/11/20/the-future-of-biological-evolution/

The ultimate desire to be a god of Machine, which eliminate all human/robot to remain you and your only creature in this universe.

However not until you achieve the full intuition of your mind, will enable you to be what you wish.

The day of singularity you proposed, is merely Accelerating Change, not Singularity. The word is right for the last invention of this universe, but what it describe is totally wrong. I wish somehow a day, I will be able to stand on a likely authority of yours, to say that your perception is wrong.

And i will keep challenging you until you aware of me, while i promise to deliver a quality-comment to you, whenever i like to tell.

Sorry to be too direct, but this, i believe, should be the ultimate use of language, that to communicate with the most effective way, because communication is merely to foster collaboration.

What I really hope, is that your platform, is really a place, for accelerating intelligence, a place to communicate like the day of 2045, but not a place of 2011.

Hope you don’t mind.

:)

I am a Uni-student from HK, who use chinese as most, sorry for my english-language usage is bad, grammar is bad, but i don’t think that would be a matter when the day of Singularity arrives.

I firstly know your name when the day you appear on the front page of Time in 2011 ( should be a historical moment at the day of singularity), and being struggled by your prediction of the future, that spiritual machine will replace human ( or robot in Singularity), blocked by fear, i afraid to be innovative as i don’t know why should i “innovate for the world that will being taken charge by the others” / “the destination of innovation by human is a zero.” – I think this is most of the present human’s fear.

By overcoming this fear, I tried many ways to challenge the existing assumption with courage and finally found that, the destination may somehow wrongly defined.

To be frank, I would like ( would like would not be exist in singularity while want will remains) to challenge your belief in the phrase that ‘singularity is the last invention of human’. I don’t think it’s right. I know why you hold this true since you can’t believe that we as a human/ robot (3Ds) can’t enter 4D, which the fact is it is achievable through the wormhole in future. To overcome this fear of adapting a new knowledge, i would suggest you a quote of mind by Buzz Lightyear: “Infinity, and beyond.”

Sorry that I just being inspired by Steve Jobs’s & Albert Einstein’s Biography to understand a mind of genius, I can only give an intuitive hypothesis of the prediction of the future, while i hope you don’t mind my sound to be so eager and aggressive, i just wanna tell you my deepest thought that to foster the most effective communication between you. ( more inspiration will comes as i really found my ultimate enthusiasm in bringing that happen, hope that you will not feel so awkward.)

2012
1. Nanotech- cloth will rock&roll the major cloth-industry.
2. the first mass-education on present human to the fundamental concept of replacing blood cell by machine-cell using a simple and acceptable way of presentation. “An engineered-fishtank which keeps the fish alive automatically by simply 3 steps. Fill the water, Plug the electricity, and live the fish” – Life is the evolution from Bio to Tech.
3. fundamental concept of ‘Sharing of memory’ through Cloud computing. While Life magazine and Facebook is doing something like this, but i think that’s not quite realized by present human, however that’s a good approach.

Also to be honest, when the day of the last invention arrive, everyone of us will be very sincere to each other who doesn’t keeps any secret. Therefore, I don’t wanna keep any secret to you since our sense to predict the future is very close. ( Some of your prediction of future have been appeared after my prediction of future in my continuing-time of life in 3D), However my capability to see the future is merely through intuition and a little bit of supporting by scientific reason, you are really a genius to connect the dots by your inspirational mind(straight line). ( hope we will together feel so wonderful when the day we ‘sharing of memories’ technology, i believe that would be just a helix straight line that goes with a same direction).

Reading the following article, which sparkled my enthusiasm to send you this e-mail,

In The Singularity is Near he expresses his belief in a need for a new religion based on the principle of mutual respect between sentient life forms, and on the principle of respecting knowledge. This religion would not have a leader, instead being purely personal to adherents.
- from the article describing you in wiki.

I hope one day we will solve this engineering problem and promote a god to own this religion’s patent.

Hope that one day we will be a friend to discuss or even innovate the progress to the day of singularity in standford uni, by the answer of everything goes simplicity.

Right at this moment, i hope to fill you with encouragement and courage to keep innovating the prediction of singularity, don’t be screwed by the present human, what they need is merely an education of Universe.

Cheers,
Felix Fan
a Likely Mind of yours.

p.s. Nanotechnology is to collaborate atom. (This will be the ultimate definition on the day of singularity. :) )
And/ Also will last forever, Or/ But will complete their historical mission to bring the world to a brighter future.

Here is what we need:
Column one: -List all the essential elements (atoms) and molecules (vitamins, amino acids, fats, proteins, etc.) that the Human body needs…
Column two: -List the visible/testable symptoms of too much or too little of each thing…
Column Three: -List the natural food sources of those things.

This is the information that every Human should know in order to control their own health. This alone would Certainly end the Epidemic levels of Disease in the world, The top killers are caused by bad diet after all: Heart disease and Cancer.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Moore's_law
However, the 2010 update to the International Technology Roadmap for Semiconductors has growth slowing at the end of 2013,[5] after which time transistor counts and densities are to double only every 3 years.

is writen in wikipedija, are in in paradigm shift ? or what is happening ?

Can somebody plis explain this ?

As for 3d circuitry it should provide decades of advancement, but without nanomachines it will eventually encounter problems as with lack of further miniaturization it implies ever increasing volumes of precisely engineered materials. By the time such happens it is likely nanomachine technology will become available which should provides the means to easily manufacture such and allow progress to continue unimpeded.

“Where a calculator on the ENIAC is equipped with 18,000 vacuum tubes and weighs 30 tons, computers in the future may have only 1,000 vaccuum tubes and perhaps weigh 1.5 tons.”
       – unknown

Look at the movies, iRobot, WallE, Real Steel.

People believe it is coming, but since it is hard to see past the “singularity” very few try to write about it.

Even though the 2045 vision by Ray won’t come tomorrow so there will be a path when we slowly use devices that help us ubiquitously on coping with the information that is now more and more being captured and elegantly used.

Silicon Saxony as the region around Dresden is called often clearly is enabling the steps for future enhancement, and creating the hot spot for innovation into various fields. Some earlier thoughts on to be read on http://bizdesigndd.blogspot.com/search/label/Silicon%20Saxony

There will certainly be different kinds of ‘singularity’ (mainly driven by accelerating information technology properties that effect us already today in our daily work, and life. It will be a step by step development – as with all disruptive innovations, where one step only led to another more improved, or accelerated one!

But after thinking about it, I think we have to question Mr. Allen’s motivations. I’ve noticed that people who are too old to likely make it to the Singularity/Methuselarity are far more likely to dismiss it and it’s implications than those that are likely to benefit from it. This appears to be a means of psychological protection from the painful realization of “Damn, I just missed it!”, simultaneously bitter and sour grapes.

Wouldn’t it be nice if someone, with the vast wealth of Paul Allen, would rather create a “Foundation”, to preserve and continue research towards the Singularity during the almost inevitable economic collapse facing advanced Western economies?