Comments on: Reinventing humanity: The future of human-machine intelligence http://www.kurzweilai.net/reinventing-humanity-the-future-of-human-machine-intelligence Accelerating Intelligence Thu, 23 May 2013 16:16:51 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.4.1 By: Anil Bhujel http://www.kurzweilai.net/reinventing-humanity-the-future-of-human-machine-intelligence/comment-page-1#comment-141972 Anil Bhujel Tue, 23 Apr 2013 09:59:21 +0000 #comment-141972 This article is splendid .Very Nice This article is splendid .Very Nice

]]> By: RS Amblee http://www.kurzweilai.net/reinventing-humanity-the-future-of-human-machine-intelligence/comment-page-1#comment-62014 RS Amblee Tue, 04 Dec 2012 22:40:57 +0000 #comment-62014 In theory exponential growth looks achievable. However, in real world, this steep growth pauses frequently along the time-line making it look more linear. Any cure can be broken and moved around to look more like linear. The reason I am saying is because, it is not enough if the information speed increases, the automation speed also need to catch up. In the past decade we have seen extraordinary growth in digital technology, nano-technology, and biotechnology and so on. However, if you look out of your car window while driving home, you will see slow paced road construction. The road repair is still using the same old machines. It is frustrating to see that automation is not catching up. House building still takes 6-9 months to complete. Even in fast food restaurants, workers are still standing there to take orders, no automation yet. If you look at the way governments work, they are moving at snail speed. Looking at all this, I am coming to the conclusion that, the exponential curve of technological growth is breaking up and beginning to look more like linear. Look at what these economic recessions are doing to automation technology. More recessions we hit, more flatter this curve will become. We can make this curve look better if we can avoid boom and bust scenarios and avoid recessions. That is the best we can do and rest is in the hands of the growing economy. How fast we grow depends on how fast our policy makers want us to grow. They can make policies to encourage automation and we all can grow faster. For these kind of policies to be implemented, we need our policy makers to be futurists to some extent. -R.S. Amblee Author The Art of Looking Into the Future: The Five Principles of Technological Evolution. -My blogs are at: http://www.goodreads.com/author_blog_posts/3020385-a-poverty-free-society-is-certainly-achievable In theory exponential growth looks achievable. However, in real world, this steep growth pauses frequently along the time-line making it look more linear. Any cure can be broken and moved around to look more like linear. The reason I am saying is because, it is not enough if the information speed increases, the automation speed also need to catch up. In the past decade we have seen extraordinary growth in digital technology, nano-technology, and biotechnology and so on. However, if you look out of your car window while driving home, you will see slow paced road construction. The road repair is still using the same old machines. It is frustrating to see that automation is not catching up. House building still takes 6-9 months to complete. Even in fast food restaurants, workers are still standing there to take orders, no automation yet. If you look at the way governments work, they are moving at snail speed. Looking at all this, I am coming to the conclusion that, the exponential curve of technological growth is breaking up and beginning to look more like linear. Look at what these economic recessions are doing to automation technology. More recessions we hit, more flatter this curve will become. We can make this curve look better if we can avoid boom and bust scenarios and avoid recessions. That is the best we can do and rest is in the hands of the growing economy. How fast we grow depends on how fast our policy makers want us to grow. They can make policies to encourage automation and we all can grow faster. For these kind of policies to be implemented, we need our policy makers to be futurists to some extent.

-R.S. Amblee
Author The Art of Looking Into the Future: The Five Principles of Technological Evolution.
-My blogs are at:
http://www.goodreads.com/author_blog_posts/3020385-a-poverty-free-society-is-certainly-achievable

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