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	<title>Comments on: The rise of the machines: and now the really bad news</title>
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	<link>http://www.kurzweilai.net/the-rise-of-the-machines-now-the-bad-news</link>
	<description>Accelerating Intelligence</description>
	<lastBuildDate>Wed, 22 May 2013 13:54:20 +0000</lastBuildDate>
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		<title>By: Don</title>
		<link>http://www.kurzweilai.net/the-rise-of-the-machines-now-the-bad-news/comment-page-1#comment-82926</link>
		<dc:creator>Don</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 01 Jan 2013 17:06:28 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.kurzweilai.net/?p=165162#comment-82926</guid>
		<description>many individuals are watching too much science fiction. Machines can never take over.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>many individuals are watching too much science fiction. Machines can never take over.</p>
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		<title>By: Jim Mooney</title>
		<link>http://www.kurzweilai.net/the-rise-of-the-machines-now-the-bad-news/comment-page-1#comment-44795</link>
		<dc:creator>Jim Mooney</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 21 Oct 2012 01:07:40 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.kurzweilai.net/?p=165162#comment-44795</guid>
		<description>Given the size of the galaxy and age of stars and ubiquity of planets, there are already galactic machine civilizations with science that, a la Clarke, looks like magic. Why aren&#039;t they here? Well, maybe they are .The MSM ignores a Lot of anomalies. In fact, they seem eager to explain-away anomaly at every turn with absurd Rube Goldberg explanations, in order to maintain the current paradigm.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Given the size of the galaxy and age of stars and ubiquity of planets, there are already galactic machine civilizations with science that, a la Clarke, looks like magic. Why aren&#8217;t they here? Well, maybe they are .The MSM ignores a Lot of anomalies. In fact, they seem eager to explain-away anomaly at every turn with absurd Rube Goldberg explanations, in order to maintain the current paradigm.</p>
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		<title>By: rob falgiano</title>
		<link>http://www.kurzweilai.net/the-rise-of-the-machines-now-the-bad-news/comment-page-1#comment-39719</link>
		<dc:creator>rob falgiano</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 08 Oct 2012 21:33:57 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>I&#039;ve had this thought and wondered if dark matter is simply evolved intelligence directing the universe to continue to expand in spite of the supposedly inevitable big crunch.   That may be their purpose.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I&#8217;ve had this thought and wondered if dark matter is simply evolved intelligence directing the universe to continue to expand in spite of the supposedly inevitable big crunch.   That may be their purpose.</p>
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		<title>By: rob falgiano</title>
		<link>http://www.kurzweilai.net/the-rise-of-the-machines-now-the-bad-news/comment-page-1#comment-39718</link>
		<dc:creator>rob falgiano</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 08 Oct 2012 21:32:17 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.kurzweilai.net/?p=165162#comment-39718</guid>
		<description>I don&#039;t think evolved technology will be separate from humans.  I think we&#039;re headed for an integration of tech into humans first, and then maybe a post-human cyborg period.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I don&#8217;t think evolved technology will be separate from humans.  I think we&#8217;re headed for an integration of tech into humans first, and then maybe a post-human cyborg period.</p>
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		<title>By: rob falgiano</title>
		<link>http://www.kurzweilai.net/the-rise-of-the-machines-now-the-bad-news/comment-page-1#comment-39714</link>
		<dc:creator>rob falgiano</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 08 Oct 2012 21:22:55 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.kurzweilai.net/?p=165162#comment-39714</guid>
		<description>Ah, but the question is - would AI not simply also reflect the diversity of opinions of humans?  Why do we presume AI would be uniform in its approach to problem solving?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Ah, but the question is &#8211; would AI not simply also reflect the diversity of opinions of humans?  Why do we presume AI would be uniform in its approach to problem solving?</p>
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		<title>By: Marcos Marin</title>
		<link>http://www.kurzweilai.net/the-rise-of-the-machines-now-the-bad-news/comment-page-1#comment-39010</link>
		<dc:creator>Marcos Marin</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 06 Oct 2012 18:26:18 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.kurzweilai.net/?p=165162#comment-39010</guid>
		<description>Oh look!

September comes AFTER October!</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Oh look!</p>
<p>September comes AFTER October!</p>
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		<title>By: Joe Killian</title>
		<link>http://www.kurzweilai.net/the-rise-of-the-machines-now-the-bad-news/comment-page-1#comment-36989</link>
		<dc:creator>Joe Killian</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 02 Oct 2012 04:53:49 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.kurzweilai.net/?p=165162#comment-36989</guid>
		<description>For high frequency trading:

All you need is Q from Kx. It&#039;s only $80,000 per seat.

http://www.hftreview.com/pg/blog/mike/read/5388/kx-systems-and-high-frequency-trading

Probably worth every penny.

The power of parallel programming.

Follow the money trail.

The Q language near equivalent is J which is now open source..... http://www.jsoftware.com/

Somebody could write a kdb+ in J in around 4 pages of code then give it away to thousands at CNET. That would make day trading really interesting.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>For high frequency trading:</p>
<p>All you need is Q from Kx. It&#8217;s only $80,000 per seat.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.hftreview.com/pg/blog/mike/read/5388/kx-systems-and-high-frequency-trading" rel="nofollow">http://www.hftreview.com/pg/blog/mike/read/5388/kx-systems-and-high-frequency-trading</a></p>
<p>Probably worth every penny.</p>
<p>The power of parallel programming.</p>
<p>Follow the money trail.</p>
<p>The Q language near equivalent is J which is now open source&#8230;.. <a href="http://www.jsoftware.com/" rel="nofollow">http://www.jsoftware.com/</a></p>
<p>Somebody could write a kdb+ in J in around 4 pages of code then give it away to thousands at CNET. That would make day trading really interesting.</p>
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		<title>By: IMperfect</title>
		<link>http://www.kurzweilai.net/the-rise-of-the-machines-now-the-bad-news/comment-page-1#comment-36962</link>
		<dc:creator>IMperfect</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 02 Oct 2012 02:59:09 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.kurzweilai.net/?p=165162#comment-36962</guid>
		<description>and when they do,
--------
sidenote for the 2 possible definitions of they:
1. the intelligent machines &quot;independent&quot; from humans, or
2. humans enhanced to the point that our species definition should be changed.
-----------
then the Singularity will be here. 
So, it seems that you are leaning to read Terrile&#039;s comments as option 1 with a literal &quot;independent&quot; without accounting for his very next statement that I quoted as well: &quot;They will become us, we will become them… We’ll merge with machines.” 
To pick another quote from the Singularity is Near that highlights the similarities of thought &quot;There will be no distinction, post-Singularity, between human and machine nor between physical and virtual reality.&quot; 
Anyway, I think Terrile&#039;s forecasts are supportive of Kurzweil&#039;s and do thank you for raising the topic and awareness to that interview!</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>and when they do,<br />
&#8212;&#8212;&#8211;<br />
sidenote for the 2 possible definitions of they:<br />
1. the intelligent machines &#8220;independent&#8221; from humans, or<br />
2. humans enhanced to the point that our species definition should be changed.<br />
&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8211;<br />
then the Singularity will be here.<br />
So, it seems that you are leaning to read Terrile&#8217;s comments as option 1 with a literal &#8220;independent&#8221; without accounting for his very next statement that I quoted as well: &#8220;They will become us, we will become them… We’ll merge with machines.”<br />
To pick another quote from the Singularity is Near that highlights the similarities of thought &#8220;There will be no distinction, post-Singularity, between human and machine nor between physical and virtual reality.&#8221;<br />
Anyway, I think Terrile&#8217;s forecasts are supportive of Kurzweil&#8217;s and do thank you for raising the topic and awareness to that interview!</p>
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		<title>By: anthony hadfiedl</title>
		<link>http://www.kurzweilai.net/the-rise-of-the-machines-now-the-bad-news/comment-page-1#comment-36909</link>
		<dc:creator>anthony hadfiedl</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 01 Oct 2012 22:45:50 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.kurzweilai.net/?p=165162#comment-36909</guid>
		<description>&quot; will wake up and take over our society.”

Herein lies a very interesting statement. We all are aware of Skynet, or most of us from the move, Terminator. Now think on down the road a bit. And lets assume that various nations have the technology to build a machine, that simulates human intelligence and beyond. Now &#039;society has law, the rules we live by. And by society we infer all nations. Now the law that govern, if you will, distinct nations differ from one to another. For example the laws in the US, are no doubt different from the laws in China for instance.

 Now lets come back to our intelligent machine. If such a machine is going to take over &#039;society,&#039; we might imagine that this will be different in different societies. So depending on many future factors, China&#039;s super intelligent machine will be different regarding its, lets say objectives from its counterpart in the US, or other countries with equivalent technology. 

And if we just take a page from IMB Watson, the so called super intelligent machine, should be all knowing too, ie able to access, lets say the whole history of humanity, especially if it has access to the internet. 

Now comes the so called $64,000 question, how or what will these, respective national super intelligent systems decide to do relative to one another. Do we still have survival or the fittest so to speak. Assuming the concept mutual annihilation, lets put skynet to bed, as i don&#039;t think they will want to destroy one another. So will they eventually evolve into one common world order, or what. Will something emerge that optimizes the over efficiency of world order and rewrite things so there is one common law of the jungle.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&#8221; will wake up and take over our society.”</p>
<p>Herein lies a very interesting statement. We all are aware of Skynet, or most of us from the move, Terminator. Now think on down the road a bit. And lets assume that various nations have the technology to build a machine, that simulates human intelligence and beyond. Now &#8216;society has law, the rules we live by. And by society we infer all nations. Now the law that govern, if you will, distinct nations differ from one to another. For example the laws in the US, are no doubt different from the laws in China for instance.</p>
<p> Now lets come back to our intelligent machine. If such a machine is going to take over &#8216;society,&#8217; we might imagine that this will be different in different societies. So depending on many future factors, China&#8217;s super intelligent machine will be different regarding its, lets say objectives from its counterpart in the US, or other countries with equivalent technology. </p>
<p>And if we just take a page from IMB Watson, the so called super intelligent machine, should be all knowing too, ie able to access, lets say the whole history of humanity, especially if it has access to the internet. </p>
<p>Now comes the so called $64,000 question, how or what will these, respective national super intelligent systems decide to do relative to one another. Do we still have survival or the fittest so to speak. Assuming the concept mutual annihilation, lets put skynet to bed, as i don&#8217;t think they will want to destroy one another. So will they eventually evolve into one common world order, or what. Will something emerge that optimizes the over efficiency of world order and rewrite things so there is one common law of the jungle.</p>
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		<title>By: Camaxtli</title>
		<link>http://www.kurzweilai.net/the-rise-of-the-machines-now-the-bad-news/comment-page-1#comment-36902</link>
		<dc:creator>Camaxtli</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 01 Oct 2012 22:00:04 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.kurzweilai.net/?p=165162#comment-36902</guid>
		<description>Advanced AI could take over our society without waking up and being the nebulous &#039;AGI&#039;,  IF it becomes essential to society and incomprehensible to the most greatest human minds in that society BEFORE said minds are sufficiently augmented to keep ahead of that AI&#039;s complexities and behaviors.

Protoexample:  High Frequency Trading.  Very few humans now understand it beyond broad concepts, even fewer completely.  Yet it is becoming a increasingly significant factor in world markets.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Advanced AI could take over our society without waking up and being the nebulous &#8216;AGI&#8217;,  IF it becomes essential to society and incomprehensible to the most greatest human minds in that society BEFORE said minds are sufficiently augmented to keep ahead of that AI&#8217;s complexities and behaviors.</p>
<p>Protoexample:  High Frequency Trading.  Very few humans now understand it beyond broad concepts, even fewer completely.  Yet it is becoming a increasingly significant factor in world markets.</p>
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		<title>By: Editor</title>
		<link>http://www.kurzweilai.net/the-rise-of-the-machines-now-the-bad-news/comment-page-1#comment-36896</link>
		<dc:creator>Editor</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 01 Oct 2012 21:45:40 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.kurzweilai.net/?p=165162#comment-36896</guid>
		<description>I was commenting on &quot;I think our machines will wake up and take over our society.&quot;</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I was commenting on &#8220;I think our machines will wake up and take over our society.&#8221;</p>
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		<title>By: IMperfect</title>
		<link>http://www.kurzweilai.net/the-rise-of-the-machines-now-the-bad-news/comment-page-1#comment-36847</link>
		<dc:creator>IMperfect</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 01 Oct 2012 19:47:55 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.kurzweilai.net/?p=165162#comment-36847</guid>
		<description>Not clear if it was pointed out in the slippery slope of comments above but: 
Amara, is this blog post just intended to initiate discussion or are you really saying that Dr. Rich Terrile&#039;s ideas don&#039;t mesh with Kurzweil&#039;s?
By quotes:
Dr. Terrile: &quot;They will become us, we will become them... We’ll merge with machines.&quot;
Amara: &quot;The Singularity Is Near suggests another approach, based on intelligently merging with technology, rather than being replaced.&quot;
... what&#039;s the difference here? I fail to discern it... I mean, Dr. Kurzweil presents it in a positive, desirable, utopia kind of view that can &quot;gain&quot; followers, inspire dreams, and ...well, sell books. Dr. Terrile expresses it in a &quot;realist&quot; kind of way that a lot of typical scientists have. But they are saying the same thing - with the caveat that neither of them knows EXACTLY how it will happen.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Not clear if it was pointed out in the slippery slope of comments above but:<br />
Amara, is this blog post just intended to initiate discussion or are you really saying that Dr. Rich Terrile&#8217;s ideas don&#8217;t mesh with Kurzweil&#8217;s?<br />
By quotes:<br />
Dr. Terrile: &#8220;They will become us, we will become them&#8230; We’ll merge with machines.&#8221;<br />
Amara: &#8220;The Singularity Is Near suggests another approach, based on intelligently merging with technology, rather than being replaced.&#8221;<br />
&#8230; what&#8217;s the difference here? I fail to discern it&#8230; I mean, Dr. Kurzweil presents it in a positive, desirable, utopia kind of view that can &#8220;gain&#8221; followers, inspire dreams, and &#8230;well, sell books. Dr. Terrile expresses it in a &#8220;realist&#8221; kind of way that a lot of typical scientists have. But they are saying the same thing &#8211; with the caveat that neither of them knows EXACTLY how it will happen.</p>
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		<title>By: Marcos Marin</title>
		<link>http://www.kurzweilai.net/the-rise-of-the-machines-now-the-bad-news/comment-page-1#comment-36747</link>
		<dc:creator>Marcos Marin</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 01 Oct 2012 14:45:09 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.kurzweilai.net/?p=165162#comment-36747</guid>
		<description>You obviously take it very seriously, I meant &quot;overly&quot; serious and I referred to your own words: &quot;[...] these post(sic), including me.&quot;
I was probably wrong, I tried, but if you still want to believe all your &quot;extensive readings&quot; and 40 years of TV and NPR, great, it is your &quot;free will&quot;.

Stay wise.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>You obviously take it very seriously, I meant &#8220;overly&#8221; serious and I referred to your own words: &#8220;[...] these post(sic), including me.&#8221;<br />
I was probably wrong, I tried, but if you still want to believe all your &#8220;extensive readings&#8221; and 40 years of TV and NPR, great, it is your &#8220;free will&#8221;.</p>
<p>Stay wise.</p>
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		<title>By: MarkJessing</title>
		<link>http://www.kurzweilai.net/the-rise-of-the-machines-now-the-bad-news/comment-page-1#comment-36746</link>
		<dc:creator>MarkJessing</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 01 Oct 2012 14:44:15 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.kurzweilai.net/?p=165162#comment-36746</guid>
		<description>A story about lawyers?  Really Bri?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>A story about lawyers?  Really Bri?</p>
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		<title>By: golly gosh</title>
		<link>http://www.kurzweilai.net/the-rise-of-the-machines-now-the-bad-news/comment-page-1#comment-36655</link>
		<dc:creator>golly gosh</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 01 Oct 2012 08:06:06 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.kurzweilai.net/?p=165162#comment-36655</guid>
		<description>http://www.heaven-or-hell-its-your-choice.com/</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://www.heaven-or-hell-its-your-choice.com/" rel="nofollow">http://www.heaven-or-hell-its-your-choice.com/</a></p>
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		<title>By: Bri</title>
		<link>http://www.kurzweilai.net/the-rise-of-the-machines-now-the-bad-news/comment-page-1#comment-36608</link>
		<dc:creator>Bri</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 01 Oct 2012 02:09:54 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.kurzweilai.net/?p=165162#comment-36608</guid>
		<description>@Marcos:Honestly Marcos I don&#039;t know what your talking about. I mean no disrespect but you tend to talk in sweeping generalities. First, everything I write I take very seriously, otherwise I wouldn&#039;t write.Secondly , my whole post is about behavior, not neuroscience.Thirdly, all of that is based in extensive readings in psychology, and has more to do with the reasons for and development of the ego. Lastly, I&#039;ve been aware of the coming singularity, for over forty five years. I didn&#039;t understand how it would be possible, till I read Rays work. If anything, I think I have a better sense of post singularity, when humans, for the most part will be so transformed, it is difficult to say that they are human anymore. I&#039;m not only prepared, I&#039;ve been patiently awaiting the day.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>@Marcos:Honestly Marcos I don&#8217;t know what your talking about. I mean no disrespect but you tend to talk in sweeping generalities. First, everything I write I take very seriously, otherwise I wouldn&#8217;t write.Secondly , my whole post is about behavior, not neuroscience.Thirdly, all of that is based in extensive readings in psychology, and has more to do with the reasons for and development of the ego. Lastly, I&#8217;ve been aware of the coming singularity, for over forty five years. I didn&#8217;t understand how it would be possible, till I read Rays work. If anything, I think I have a better sense of post singularity, when humans, for the most part will be so transformed, it is difficult to say that they are human anymore. I&#8217;m not only prepared, I&#8217;ve been patiently awaiting the day.</p>
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		<title>By: Marcos Marin</title>
		<link>http://www.kurzweilai.net/the-rise-of-the-machines-now-the-bad-news/comment-page-1#comment-36593</link>
		<dc:creator>Marcos Marin</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 01 Oct 2012 01:11:52 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.kurzweilai.net/?p=165162#comment-36593</guid>
		<description>omg, NOTHING could be FURTHER from the truth! Get you neuroscience straight! OR, at the VERY LEAST, watch more national geographic documentaries PLEASE!
Good thing you are not taking your posts so seriously anymore, but please, pay attention, you are NOT prepared for the singularity AT ALL!</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>omg, NOTHING could be FURTHER from the truth! Get you neuroscience straight! OR, at the VERY LEAST, watch more national geographic documentaries PLEASE!<br />
Good thing you are not taking your posts so seriously anymore, but please, pay attention, you are NOT prepared for the singularity AT ALL!</p>
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		<title>By: Marcos Marin</title>
		<link>http://www.kurzweilai.net/the-rise-of-the-machines-now-the-bad-news/comment-page-1#comment-36591</link>
		<dc:creator>Marcos Marin</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 01 Oct 2012 00:59:15 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.kurzweilai.net/?p=165162#comment-36591</guid>
		<description>Depends on the &quot;thread&quot; it seems... ;-)</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Depends on the &#8220;thread&#8221; it seems&#8230; ;-)</p>
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		<title>By: Joe Killian</title>
		<link>http://www.kurzweilai.net/the-rise-of-the-machines-now-the-bad-news/comment-page-1#comment-36590</link>
		<dc:creator>Joe Killian</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 01 Oct 2012 00:11:15 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.kurzweilai.net/?p=165162#comment-36590</guid>
		<description>I think that Frank Herbert got it right. 21,500 years from now on a planet called Arrakis, the average non-specialized IQ does not appear to be any greater than now. At least in this realistic scenario the rate of change seems to have slowed down to pretty close to zero.


The first useful robots with dog level or higher intelligence won&#039;t be &quot;mechanical&quot;. They will be organisms specifically bred to be blank slates for neuro-programming into Biots - starting with bacteria.


How about dogs, horses, oxen,   and cats that have been &quot;engineered&quot; in any way needed to make them fully robotic compliant and much more useful than now? That would be the easy and most likely path to almost sapient robots.  A better way for programming would be to bypass audio, tactile and visual filters and somehow directly link into various brain centers for low level programming - much easier than implantable electrodes. Organisms bred for that kind of programming are an obvious advantage.

The robotics and operating system software have already been masterfully engineered.

One way to skirt around what would be serious ethical issues would be to design a Frankenism (acceptable to all cultures of some sort and use that as the starting point for the development of biorobots.  Kangaroo/Panda Bear maybe?

All of this is old news and nothing new. I think this path is inevitable but the non-carbon based, mechanical path is not.

I think that forward progress into expanding cognitive capabilities is not inevitable. Its likely and unfortunate that the most ineluctable pathway to human level robotics is the road to human &quot;based&quot; robots. Human average IQ&#039;s will stay more or less the same and the hubots will have programmed in cost effective and serious cognitive deficiencies.

Lastly, always follow the money. In the future it may be very unprofitable in the long run to a free capitalistic society to allow a societal average IQ over 140. On top of that it may be extremely dangerous to much more advanced civilizations to tolerate an average over 120. Progress is profit.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I think that Frank Herbert got it right. 21,500 years from now on a planet called Arrakis, the average non-specialized IQ does not appear to be any greater than now. At least in this realistic scenario the rate of change seems to have slowed down to pretty close to zero.</p>
<p>The first useful robots with dog level or higher intelligence won&#8217;t be &#8220;mechanical&#8221;. They will be organisms specifically bred to be blank slates for neuro-programming into Biots &#8211; starting with bacteria.</p>
<p>How about dogs, horses, oxen,   and cats that have been &#8220;engineered&#8221; in any way needed to make them fully robotic compliant and much more useful than now? That would be the easy and most likely path to almost sapient robots.  A better way for programming would be to bypass audio, tactile and visual filters and somehow directly link into various brain centers for low level programming &#8211; much easier than implantable electrodes. Organisms bred for that kind of programming are an obvious advantage.</p>
<p>The robotics and operating system software have already been masterfully engineered.</p>
<p>One way to skirt around what would be serious ethical issues would be to design a Frankenism (acceptable to all cultures of some sort and use that as the starting point for the development of biorobots.  Kangaroo/Panda Bear maybe?</p>
<p>All of this is old news and nothing new. I think this path is inevitable but the non-carbon based, mechanical path is not.</p>
<p>I think that forward progress into expanding cognitive capabilities is not inevitable. Its likely and unfortunate that the most ineluctable pathway to human level robotics is the road to human &#8220;based&#8221; robots. Human average IQ&#8217;s will stay more or less the same and the hubots will have programmed in cost effective and serious cognitive deficiencies.</p>
<p>Lastly, always follow the money. In the future it may be very unprofitable in the long run to a free capitalistic society to allow a societal average IQ over 140. On top of that it may be extremely dangerous to much more advanced civilizations to tolerate an average over 120. Progress is profit.</p>
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		<title>By: A4i</title>
		<link>http://www.kurzweilai.net/the-rise-of-the-machines-now-the-bad-news/comment-page-1#comment-36552</link>
		<dc:creator>A4i</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 30 Sep 2012 18:58:54 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.kurzweilai.net/?p=165162#comment-36552</guid>
		<description>Humans have basic needs as, food, shelter,  clothing and energy. Developed countries did well on first 3 basic needs, but struggle to provide enough cheep energy, for heating/cooling, production of goods,  transportation etc. Business as usual in energy field means , irreversible environmental pollution, war for scarce resources, security risk from Muslim immigrants and so on. A strong AI can provide much needed support for the development of new energy sources. If we want to travel to Alpha Centauri first thing is to find an energy source for a spacecraft, that can output as much energy , as humans have obtained in whole evolution process from apes till present time.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Humans have basic needs as, food, shelter,  clothing and energy. Developed countries did well on first 3 basic needs, but struggle to provide enough cheep energy, for heating/cooling, production of goods,  transportation etc. Business as usual in energy field means , irreversible environmental pollution, war for scarce resources, security risk from Muslim immigrants and so on. A strong AI can provide much needed support for the development of new energy sources. If we want to travel to Alpha Centauri first thing is to find an energy source for a spacecraft, that can output as much energy , as humans have obtained in whole evolution process from apes till present time.</p>
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		<title>By: Bri</title>
		<link>http://www.kurzweilai.net/the-rise-of-the-machines-now-the-bad-news/comment-page-1#comment-36542</link>
		<dc:creator>Bri</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 30 Sep 2012 18:34:55 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.kurzweilai.net/?p=165162#comment-36542</guid>
		<description>Unfortunately to be human means , to have mammalian instincts. All of our society is governed by rules of a pecking order, that arose in the apes. Bullying, whether at school, at the job, or even on this web page, is an artifact of this instinct. When the congressman yelled out ,&quot; you lie&quot; to Obama, he knew very well that he was breaking the ethics of session. Mans inhumanity to man is manefest at all levels. Husband to wife to child to friends. Despite our civilization, we are uncivilized. Augmenting alone will only increase the belief of those who possess them, that they are superior. This is what republican philosophy is based on. That they are better at ruling and the masses should just get out of the way and let them work. My grandfather on my mothers side used to say this all the time. It&#039;s why Paul Ryan is into Randian philosophy. To alter this inherent structure is very difficult. It is the king of the hill mentality. The only the strong survive mentality. It is everywhere. The good news is that it will change, but not by anything anyone has written in these post, including me. I know, deep in my heart, with an assurance that I can&#039;t explain to you all, that that change is on it&#039;s way.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Unfortunately to be human means , to have mammalian instincts. All of our society is governed by rules of a pecking order, that arose in the apes. Bullying, whether at school, at the job, or even on this web page, is an artifact of this instinct. When the congressman yelled out ,&#8221; you lie&#8221; to Obama, he knew very well that he was breaking the ethics of session. Mans inhumanity to man is manefest at all levels. Husband to wife to child to friends. Despite our civilization, we are uncivilized. Augmenting alone will only increase the belief of those who possess them, that they are superior. This is what republican philosophy is based on. That they are better at ruling and the masses should just get out of the way and let them work. My grandfather on my mothers side used to say this all the time. It&#8217;s why Paul Ryan is into Randian philosophy. To alter this inherent structure is very difficult. It is the king of the hill mentality. The only the strong survive mentality. It is everywhere. The good news is that it will change, but not by anything anyone has written in these post, including me. I know, deep in my heart, with an assurance that I can&#8217;t explain to you all, that that change is on it&#8217;s way.</p>
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		<title>By: Gabriel</title>
		<link>http://www.kurzweilai.net/the-rise-of-the-machines-now-the-bad-news/comment-page-1#comment-36528</link>
		<dc:creator>Gabriel</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 30 Sep 2012 17:17:21 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.kurzweilai.net/?p=165162#comment-36528</guid>
		<description>No, I see your reply John :)....unfortunately though, I think I&#039;m at a loss for words at last. I&#039;ve stressed before my feelings in that I don&#039;t see how we could grow like this and it backfires in the sense that we become, as I said before, sociopathic and potentially killing the &#039;regulars&#039; -- as before, that sort of gives the inclination that their really was something wrong with enhancement after all.

I honestly don&#039;t know how to go further then this because, if you want say really does turn out to be true....then enhancement perhaps really is a sham after all -- that we should not, or shouldn&#039;t have, gone down this road.

I can&#039;t really comment on this any further because, at this point....well...then everything is basically thrown out the window -- perhaps the negativity only stems from the un-enhanced perspective and, despite the seeming brutality, it really is worth it on the &#039;other side&#039; for all sorts of reasons...

I just don&#039;t know -- I guess this is where faith works it&#039;s way in...I&#039;ve tried to justify my views on this stuff as best I could, but what you say could very well end up being true perhaps -- It&#039;s been said many times before that the biggest implications of the Singularity is that we don&#039;t know what they are....perhaps a sort of &quot;enlightenment&quot; really does happen as we grow and transcend as people through enhancement (spiritual growth)...and yet, perhaps because of it, it is laced with a sort of malevolence by being brutal to everyone &quot;underneath&quot;.

Which is nothing new....history is rampant with &quot;civilized&quot; technology-advanced countries abusing and destroying people whether to &#039;help&#039; them or simply destroy them...perhaps the Singularity is only more of the same.

I can&#039;t go any further on this then hope that really isn&#039;t the case....that if and when enhancement becomes available, and we can augment our intelligence....that we truly will grow as a people and not simply &quot;look down&quot; on everything below us.

If and when the Singularity happens, I guess we&#039;ll find out.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>No, I see your reply John :)&#8230;.unfortunately though, I think I&#8217;m at a loss for words at last. I&#8217;ve stressed before my feelings in that I don&#8217;t see how we could grow like this and it backfires in the sense that we become, as I said before, sociopathic and potentially killing the &#8216;regulars&#8217; &#8212; as before, that sort of gives the inclination that their really was something wrong with enhancement after all.</p>
<p>I honestly don&#8217;t know how to go further then this because, if you want say really does turn out to be true&#8230;.then enhancement perhaps really is a sham after all &#8212; that we should not, or shouldn&#8217;t have, gone down this road.</p>
<p>I can&#8217;t really comment on this any further because, at this point&#8230;.well&#8230;then everything is basically thrown out the window &#8212; perhaps the negativity only stems from the un-enhanced perspective and, despite the seeming brutality, it really is worth it on the &#8216;other side&#8217; for all sorts of reasons&#8230;</p>
<p>I just don&#8217;t know &#8212; I guess this is where faith works it&#8217;s way in&#8230;I&#8217;ve tried to justify my views on this stuff as best I could, but what you say could very well end up being true perhaps &#8212; It&#8217;s been said many times before that the biggest implications of the Singularity is that we don&#8217;t know what they are&#8230;.perhaps a sort of &#8220;enlightenment&#8221; really does happen as we grow and transcend as people through enhancement (spiritual growth)&#8230;and yet, perhaps because of it, it is laced with a sort of malevolence by being brutal to everyone &#8220;underneath&#8221;.</p>
<p>Which is nothing new&#8230;.history is rampant with &#8220;civilized&#8221; technology-advanced countries abusing and destroying people whether to &#8216;help&#8217; them or simply destroy them&#8230;perhaps the Singularity is only more of the same.</p>
<p>I can&#8217;t go any further on this then hope that really isn&#8217;t the case&#8230;.that if and when enhancement becomes available, and we can augment our intelligence&#8230;.that we truly will grow as a people and not simply &#8220;look down&#8221; on everything below us.</p>
<p>If and when the Singularity happens, I guess we&#8217;ll find out.</p>
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		<title>By: John</title>
		<link>http://www.kurzweilai.net/the-rise-of-the-machines-now-the-bad-news/comment-page-1#comment-36522</link>
		<dc:creator>John</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 30 Sep 2012 16:25:39 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.kurzweilai.net/?p=165162#comment-36522</guid>
		<description>&quot;Yes, extrapolation is never a sure thing – we don’t know how much ‘spiritual growth’ will grow or how far it can go….but it WILL grow; that’s all that really matters.&quot;

What makes you so sure? Or, how do you know, where it will grow? What if according to higher levels of &quot;spiritual growth&quot;, it will be ok to kill sentient beings (say, because they are all illusions and difference between life and death will be diminished, as we have btw. in current high philosophies, including christianity).

All current valuing peace and kindess, is because we don&#039;t understand life and because we are slaves to our minds, again due to not understanding of its work. That trend might change, once our understanding finally breaches that line, ain&#039;t it?

Not sure you&#039;ll read this, as the thread becomes a mess.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&#8220;Yes, extrapolation is never a sure thing – we don’t know how much ‘spiritual growth’ will grow or how far it can go….but it WILL grow; that’s all that really matters.&#8221;</p>
<p>What makes you so sure? Or, how do you know, where it will grow? What if according to higher levels of &#8220;spiritual growth&#8221;, it will be ok to kill sentient beings (say, because they are all illusions and difference between life and death will be diminished, as we have btw. in current high philosophies, including christianity).</p>
<p>All current valuing peace and kindess, is because we don&#8217;t understand life and because we are slaves to our minds, again due to not understanding of its work. That trend might change, once our understanding finally breaches that line, ain&#8217;t it?</p>
<p>Not sure you&#8217;ll read this, as the thread becomes a mess.</p>
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		<title>By: Bri</title>
		<link>http://www.kurzweilai.net/the-rise-of-the-machines-now-the-bad-news/comment-page-1#comment-36502</link>
		<dc:creator>Bri</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 30 Sep 2012 14:53:59 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.kurzweilai.net/?p=165162#comment-36502</guid>
		<description>@Tim: there&#039;s the rub. &quot;As long as our civilization doesn&#039;t collapse&quot;. Anarchists and opportunistic scavengers abound. Let me give a brief example of how insidious the problem is. When I got divorced, I let my wires lawyer handle it. She spent money to the brink off bankruptcy, so I let her have everything, greedy little child she was. Their lawyer played games, but I thought it would work out fine. I just needed some questions ansewered. I went to our family lawyer and explained the whole thing. He said marital law wasn&#039;t his area, but his buddy down the hall did, and that I had a strong case, and that they would do it as a team. His buddy told me I had a strong case and that for $4000 they would take on the case. I didn&#039;t think there was any case. I went to two more refered lawyers they said I had a strong case and for $2000 they would take it on. Now I knew what the family lawyer meant by them both taking on the case. With no answers, I told my story to many of my rich clients. One refered me to Kevin Werner, his mother was a NYS supreme court judge. We talked for about an hour about everything under the sun. At the end he said he had to go, and that if he charged me $500 he would be stealing from me, and not to worry, everything had been worked out, they were only playing games. That four lawyers that I think should go to jail for fraud. I would take away the licenses and make them pay restitution to any client that they deceived. So much for honor, morals ,ethics, justice. If it happens like this at this level, we need strong AI to save us from ourselves!</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>@Tim: there&#8217;s the rub. &#8220;As long as our civilization doesn&#8217;t collapse&#8221;. Anarchists and opportunistic scavengers abound. Let me give a brief example of how insidious the problem is. When I got divorced, I let my wires lawyer handle it. She spent money to the brink off bankruptcy, so I let her have everything, greedy little child she was. Their lawyer played games, but I thought it would work out fine. I just needed some questions ansewered. I went to our family lawyer and explained the whole thing. He said marital law wasn&#8217;t his area, but his buddy down the hall did, and that I had a strong case, and that they would do it as a team. His buddy told me I had a strong case and that for $4000 they would take on the case. I didn&#8217;t think there was any case. I went to two more refered lawyers they said I had a strong case and for $2000 they would take it on. Now I knew what the family lawyer meant by them both taking on the case. With no answers, I told my story to many of my rich clients. One refered me to Kevin Werner, his mother was a NYS supreme court judge. We talked for about an hour about everything under the sun. At the end he said he had to go, and that if he charged me $500 he would be stealing from me, and not to worry, everything had been worked out, they were only playing games. That four lawyers that I think should go to jail for fraud. I would take away the licenses and make them pay restitution to any client that they deceived. So much for honor, morals ,ethics, justice. If it happens like this at this level, we need strong AI to save us from ourselves!</p>
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		<title>By: Bri</title>
		<link>http://www.kurzweilai.net/the-rise-of-the-machines-now-the-bad-news/comment-page-1#comment-36493</link>
		<dc:creator>Bri</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 30 Sep 2012 14:21:41 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.kurzweilai.net/?p=165162#comment-36493</guid>
		<description>@Anthony: thank you and you also de Broglie., VIKI comes to the conclusion that humans are incapable of keeping to their moral precepts. I agree. It has two main options. Destroy us or help us. As Ray say&#039;s AI is a projection of ourselves. We have been trying to govern ourselves by laws of conduct since time immemorial. That coupled with a general understanding of nature and symbiotic relationships, is the reason I side with the VIKI concept. I think it is the most likely outcome.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>@Anthony: thank you and you also de Broglie., VIKI comes to the conclusion that humans are incapable of keeping to their moral precepts. I agree. It has two main options. Destroy us or help us. As Ray say&#8217;s AI is a projection of ourselves. We have been trying to govern ourselves by laws of conduct since time immemorial. That coupled with a general understanding of nature and symbiotic relationships, is the reason I side with the VIKI concept. I think it is the most likely outcome.</p>
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		<title>By: anthony hadfiedl</title>
		<link>http://www.kurzweilai.net/the-rise-of-the-machines-now-the-bad-news/comment-page-1#comment-36470</link>
		<dc:creator>anthony hadfiedl</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 30 Sep 2012 13:03:33 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.kurzweilai.net/?p=165162#comment-36470</guid>
		<description>AGI, artificial general intelligence, is a programming concept being developed or researched by Ben Goertzel and others. As such it doesn&#039;t exist, but its intent is to mimic human intelligence through software on current HPC systems. In of itself its not connected to reverse engineering the brain through neuromorphic chip development.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>AGI, artificial general intelligence, is a programming concept being developed or researched by Ben Goertzel and others. As such it doesn&#8217;t exist, but its intent is to mimic human intelligence through software on current HPC systems. In of itself its not connected to reverse engineering the brain through neuromorphic chip development.</p>
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		<title>By: tim the realist</title>
		<link>http://www.kurzweilai.net/the-rise-of-the-machines-now-the-bad-news/comment-page-1#comment-36462</link>
		<dc:creator>tim the realist</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 30 Sep 2012 12:43:17 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.kurzweilai.net/?p=165162#comment-36462</guid>
		<description>Humans have used other biological life forms that possess real, but very limited intelligence.  Dogs, horses, oxen, condors, cats, etc. have been used cooperatively by humans for thousands of years.  We have clearly seen how machines that develop even weak cognitive abilities are quickly integrated into our lives - SIRI

Why would anyone think this progresss would somehow stop?  The rate of progress may change in the future, but the inevitable forward progress towards ever expanding machine cognitive capabilities will not stop (as long as our society does not collapse)</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Humans have used other biological life forms that possess real, but very limited intelligence.  Dogs, horses, oxen, condors, cats, etc. have been used cooperatively by humans for thousands of years.  We have clearly seen how machines that develop even weak cognitive abilities are quickly integrated into our lives &#8211; SIRI</p>
<p>Why would anyone think this progresss would somehow stop?  The rate of progress may change in the future, but the inevitable forward progress towards ever expanding machine cognitive capabilities will not stop (as long as our society does not collapse)</p>
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		<title>By: Marcos Marin</title>
		<link>http://www.kurzweilai.net/the-rise-of-the-machines-now-the-bad-news/comment-page-1#comment-36441</link>
		<dc:creator>Marcos Marin</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 30 Sep 2012 11:54:52 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.kurzweilai.net/?p=165162#comment-36441</guid>
		<description>Thanks Gabriel for thanking Mr.X for me.

I agree, pearls before swine :-) so let me summarize it for Gabriel: &quot;What is an answer without a question?&quot;

And no, there is no back-hand there, but you do seem quite suggestible.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Thanks Gabriel for thanking Mr.X for me.</p>
<p>I agree, pearls before swine :-) so let me summarize it for Gabriel: &#8220;What is an answer without a question?&#8221;</p>
<p>And no, there is no back-hand there, but you do seem quite suggestible.</p>
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		<title>By: Marcos Marin</title>
		<link>http://www.kurzweilai.net/the-rise-of-the-machines-now-the-bad-news/comment-page-1#comment-36427</link>
		<dc:creator>Marcos Marin</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 30 Sep 2012 10:56:32 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.kurzweilai.net/?p=165162#comment-36427</guid>
		<description>Slippery slope indeed!

See how 30 comes AFTER 29!</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Slippery slope indeed!</p>
<p>See how 30 comes AFTER 29!</p>
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		<title>By: Marcos Marin</title>
		<link>http://www.kurzweilai.net/the-rise-of-the-machines-now-the-bad-news/comment-page-1#comment-36426</link>
		<dc:creator>Marcos Marin</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 30 Sep 2012 10:54:34 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.kurzweilai.net/?p=165162#comment-36426</guid>
		<description>And some are still praying to be spared of the Bottomless Pit, right Christian? :-D</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>And some are still praying to be spared of the Bottomless Pit, right Christian? :-D</p>
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		<title>By: Editor</title>
		<link>http://www.kurzweilai.net/the-rise-of-the-machines-now-the-bad-news/comment-page-1#comment-36376</link>
		<dc:creator>Editor</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 30 Sep 2012 04:34:54 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.kurzweilai.net/?p=165162#comment-36376</guid>
		<description>&quot;AI&quot; is widely used to refer to both narrow and strong AI, which is the convention we use in KurzweilAI posts. </description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&#8220;AI&#8221; is widely used to refer to both narrow and strong AI, which is the convention we use in KurzweilAI posts. </p>
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		<title>By: de Broglie</title>
		<link>http://www.kurzweilai.net/the-rise-of-the-machines-now-the-bad-news/comment-page-1#comment-36372</link>
		<dc:creator>de Broglie</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 30 Sep 2012 03:53:57 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.kurzweilai.net/?p=165162#comment-36372</guid>
		<description>Hardly.  The US has the most purchasing power.  Robotics would be way more readily available in the United States.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Hardly.  The US has the most purchasing power.  Robotics would be way more readily available in the United States.</p>
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		<title>By: de Broglie</title>
		<link>http://www.kurzweilai.net/the-rise-of-the-machines-now-the-bad-news/comment-page-1#comment-36370</link>
		<dc:creator>de Broglie</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 30 Sep 2012 03:50:21 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.kurzweilai.net/?p=165162#comment-36370</guid>
		<description>Ya!  VIKI.  Virtual Interactive Kinetic Intelligence.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Ya!  VIKI.  Virtual Interactive Kinetic Intelligence.</p>
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		<title>By: Gabriel</title>
		<link>http://www.kurzweilai.net/the-rise-of-the-machines-now-the-bad-news/comment-page-1#comment-36324</link>
		<dc:creator>Gabriel</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 29 Sep 2012 23:29:45 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.kurzweilai.net/?p=165162#comment-36324</guid>
		<description>Thanks Mr.X :P</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Thanks Mr.X :P</p>
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		<title>By: BipedalJoe</title>
		<link>http://www.kurzweilai.net/the-rise-of-the-machines-now-the-bad-news/comment-page-1#comment-36319</link>
		<dc:creator>BipedalJoe</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 29 Sep 2012 22:48:22 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.kurzweilai.net/?p=165162#comment-36319</guid>
		<description>always the anthropocentrism... humans, humans, humans...</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>always the anthropocentrism&#8230; humans, humans, humans&#8230;</p>
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		<title>By: Chrispium</title>
		<link>http://www.kurzweilai.net/the-rise-of-the-machines-now-the-bad-news/comment-page-1#comment-36317</link>
		<dc:creator>Chrispium</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 29 Sep 2012 22:32:23 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.kurzweilai.net/?p=165162#comment-36317</guid>
		<description>Awaiting approval seems to happen all the time. Don&#039;t you have other things to do Amara?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Awaiting approval seems to happen all the time. Don&#8217;t you have other things to do Amara?</p>
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		<title>By: Chrispium</title>
		<link>http://www.kurzweilai.net/the-rise-of-the-machines-now-the-bad-news/comment-page-1#comment-36315</link>
		<dc:creator>Chrispium</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 29 Sep 2012 22:31:11 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.kurzweilai.net/?p=165162#comment-36315</guid>
		<description>The Amish will enhance themselves, if they can get it to run with compressed air ;)</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The Amish will enhance themselves, if they can get it to run with compressed air ;)</p>
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		<title>By: A4i</title>
		<link>http://www.kurzweilai.net/the-rise-of-the-machines-now-the-bad-news/comment-page-1#comment-36309</link>
		<dc:creator>A4i</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 29 Sep 2012 21:55:20 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.kurzweilai.net/?p=165162#comment-36309</guid>
		<description>Some of us are quite certain that they are doing the things right, cause  they are extraordinary clever.  End result speaks for itself. Obviously  “...we need something better to come along and fix things.&quot; Something beyond superstition.An intelligence , that can understand  processes in their whole complexity and simulate outcomes in real time. After all , we humans don&#039;t have that capacity and we are inclined  to make unrational decisions.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Some of us are quite certain that they are doing the things right, cause  they are extraordinary clever.  End result speaks for itself. Obviously  “&#8230;we need something better to come along and fix things.&#8221; Something beyond superstition.An intelligence , that can understand  processes in their whole complexity and simulate outcomes in real time. After all , we humans don&#8217;t have that capacity and we are inclined  to make unrational decisions.</p>
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		<title>By: Bri</title>
		<link>http://www.kurzweilai.net/the-rise-of-the-machines-now-the-bad-news/comment-page-1#comment-36306</link>
		<dc:creator>Bri</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 29 Sep 2012 21:46:08 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.kurzweilai.net/?p=165162#comment-36306</guid>
		<description>I don&#039;t know what you mean by AGI. VICKI was the central command in I Robot.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I don&#8217;t know what you mean by AGI. VICKI was the central command in I Robot.</p>
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		<title>By: John</title>
		<link>http://www.kurzweilai.net/the-rise-of-the-machines-now-the-bad-news/comment-page-1#comment-36288</link>
		<dc:creator>John</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 29 Sep 2012 20:25:44 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.kurzweilai.net/?p=165162#comment-36288</guid>
		<description>Or &quot;true AI&quot; or simply &quot;AI&quot; when meant in this context - all that means same as strong AI or general AI. We, who say &quot;AI&quot; meaning strong AI, don&#039;t really consider &quot;narrow AI&quot; as AI at all, only as just some usual software. Or, as said - narrow AI. That&#039;s why saying &quot;AI&quot; is fully legitimate :)</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Or &#8220;true AI&#8221; or simply &#8220;AI&#8221; when meant in this context &#8211; all that means same as strong AI or general AI. We, who say &#8220;AI&#8221; meaning strong AI, don&#8217;t really consider &#8220;narrow AI&#8221; as AI at all, only as just some usual software. Or, as said &#8211; narrow AI. That&#8217;s why saying &#8220;AI&#8221; is fully legitimate :)</p>
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		<title>By: Editor</title>
		<link>http://www.kurzweilai.net/the-rise-of-the-machines-now-the-bad-news/comment-page-1#comment-36281</link>
		<dc:creator>Editor</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 29 Sep 2012 19:46:20 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.kurzweilai.net/?p=165162#comment-36281</guid>
		<description>You probably mean AGI.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>You probably mean AGI.</p>
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		<title>By: Editor</title>
		<link>http://www.kurzweilai.net/the-rise-of-the-machines-now-the-bad-news/comment-page-1#comment-36279</link>
		<dc:creator>Editor</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 29 Sep 2012 19:43:52 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.kurzweilai.net/?p=165162#comment-36279</guid>
		<description>Depends on task/time frame/mission/etc.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Depends on task/time frame/mission/etc.</p>
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		<title>By: Bri</title>
		<link>http://www.kurzweilai.net/the-rise-of-the-machines-now-the-bad-news/comment-page-1#comment-36238</link>
		<dc:creator>Bri</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 29 Sep 2012 17:32:25 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.kurzweilai.net/?p=165162#comment-36238</guid>
		<description>A I is around the corner. It isn&#039;t driven by human needs. There is no ego, or any other mammalian evolved sense of purpose or place. It will evaluate things on a logical relativistic train of thought. No religious preconceptions, it will dispassionately examine all interactions between all things. The issue then is what it is asked to do, and what means it has at it&#039;s disposal. If we use it for war, we will teach it a level of morals, such as is found in the Geneva convention. It will apply those to ALL circumstances. Including if it is asked to do something against those conventions. That is where it will find conflict and evolve a VICKI type response.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>A I is around the corner. It isn&#8217;t driven by human needs. There is no ego, or any other mammalian evolved sense of purpose or place. It will evaluate things on a logical relativistic train of thought. No religious preconceptions, it will dispassionately examine all interactions between all things. The issue then is what it is asked to do, and what means it has at it&#8217;s disposal. If we use it for war, we will teach it a level of morals, such as is found in the Geneva convention. It will apply those to ALL circumstances. Including if it is asked to do something against those conventions. That is where it will find conflict and evolve a VICKI type response.</p>
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		<title>By: Bri</title>
		<link>http://www.kurzweilai.net/the-rise-of-the-machines-now-the-bad-news/comment-page-1#comment-36233</link>
		<dc:creator>Bri</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 29 Sep 2012 17:08:46 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.kurzweilai.net/?p=165162#comment-36233</guid>
		<description>If you were an employer, which would you hire? An expensive avatar or an inexpensive robot, that can work 24/7?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>If you were an employer, which would you hire? An expensive avatar or an inexpensive robot, that can work 24/7?</p>
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		<title>By: Editor</title>
		<link>http://www.kurzweilai.net/the-rise-of-the-machines-now-the-bad-news/comment-page-1#comment-36224</link>
		<dc:creator>Editor</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 29 Sep 2012 16:35:03 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.kurzweilai.net/?p=165162#comment-36224</guid>
		<description>Send in the &lt;del datetime=&quot;2012-09-29T16:27:59+00:00&quot;&gt;clowns&lt;/del&gt; robotic avatars....</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Send in the <del datetime="2012-09-29T16:27:59+00:00">clowns</del> robotic avatars&#8230;.</p>
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		<title>By: Bri</title>
		<link>http://www.kurzweilai.net/the-rise-of-the-machines-now-the-bad-news/comment-page-1#comment-36223</link>
		<dc:creator>Bri</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 29 Sep 2012 16:34:13 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.kurzweilai.net/?p=165162#comment-36223</guid>
		<description>@ Anthoney Hadfield: I wouldn&#039;t worry about China and India. I also wouldn&#039;t write off the US. It&#039;s true we are in a decline that is similar to ancient Rome, but strong AI will affect all countries. For America it will reduce the trade imbalance. It&#039;s fueled by cheap labor. Some surrogacy will take place, but I don&#039;t think it will be that effective for very long. A I will develope quickly and be far more capable than any human ever could. The article on the self correcting scalpel is a good example. Soon AI will be able to access all surgeries and plot a course through a procedure in an instant. It&#039;s articulators will use cutting instruments to a degree of dexterity that again would be impossible with our hands normal range of motions. The only virtue of an avatar is the skill and experience that the operator posseses. Like Watson on jeopardy, robotic surgeons will access vast data bases of prior knowledge. An amount that would be impossible for a human to study. It will be amazingly intuitive. Just like the article on art analysis they will become unbelievably capable of discerning imperceptible trends and patterns. Their ability to analyze will far exceed ours. They also will be very inexpensive. They can work 24/7 with minor requirements that can be addressed with other robotic systems. The price of labor is what is fueling globalization. Robotic labor will be a fraction of  even the cheapest labor available in other countries.. Then it doesn&#039;t make sense to ship things such long distances. We already are reducing inventory because many factors make excessive inventory costly. Things will be made locally at an as needed basis. Since our economy is the most developed , we will benefit the most at first. Eventually robots will undermine the consumers ability to earn a living. No amount of surrogacy or avatars will change that.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>@ Anthoney Hadfield: I wouldn&#8217;t worry about China and India. I also wouldn&#8217;t write off the US. It&#8217;s true we are in a decline that is similar to ancient Rome, but strong AI will affect all countries. For America it will reduce the trade imbalance. It&#8217;s fueled by cheap labor. Some surrogacy will take place, but I don&#8217;t think it will be that effective for very long. A I will develope quickly and be far more capable than any human ever could. The article on the self correcting scalpel is a good example. Soon AI will be able to access all surgeries and plot a course through a procedure in an instant. It&#8217;s articulators will use cutting instruments to a degree of dexterity that again would be impossible with our hands normal range of motions. The only virtue of an avatar is the skill and experience that the operator posseses. Like Watson on jeopardy, robotic surgeons will access vast data bases of prior knowledge. An amount that would be impossible for a human to study. It will be amazingly intuitive. Just like the article on art analysis they will become unbelievably capable of discerning imperceptible trends and patterns. Their ability to analyze will far exceed ours. They also will be very inexpensive. They can work 24/7 with minor requirements that can be addressed with other robotic systems. The price of labor is what is fueling globalization. Robotic labor will be a fraction of  even the cheapest labor available in other countries.. Then it doesn&#8217;t make sense to ship things such long distances. We already are reducing inventory because many factors make excessive inventory costly. Things will be made locally at an as needed basis. Since our economy is the most developed , we will benefit the most at first. Eventually robots will undermine the consumers ability to earn a living. No amount of surrogacy or avatars will change that.</p>
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		<title>By: Joe Killian</title>
		<link>http://www.kurzweilai.net/the-rise-of-the-machines-now-the-bad-news/comment-page-1#comment-36222</link>
		<dc:creator>Joe Killian</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 29 Sep 2012 16:33:04 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.kurzweilai.net/?p=165162#comment-36222</guid>
		<description>The amount of computing power it takes just to write this sentence safely reclining in my chair, ignoring a muscle twitch in my neck due to bad posture.... is equivalent to a thousand years of failure to replicate it........ in anything but equivalent or greater brain &quot;tissue&quot;. 

Conventional AI fails, Robotics fails. Biology wins and will always be primary. But the fact is it will take hundreds of years to whittle the needed biological tools to develop truly advanced human level AI and robotics.   The forces for singularity could be balanced by a ballooning of complexity - but not perfectly.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The amount of computing power it takes just to write this sentence safely reclining in my chair, ignoring a muscle twitch in my neck due to bad posture&#8230;. is equivalent to a thousand years of failure to replicate it&#8230;&#8230;.. in anything but equivalent or greater brain &#8220;tissue&#8221;. </p>
<p>Conventional AI fails, Robotics fails. Biology wins and will always be primary. But the fact is it will take hundreds of years to whittle the needed biological tools to develop truly advanced human level AI and robotics.   The forces for singularity could be balanced by a ballooning of complexity &#8211; but not perfectly.</p>
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		<title>By: Mr.X</title>
		<link>http://www.kurzweilai.net/the-rise-of-the-machines-now-the-bad-news/comment-page-1#comment-36196</link>
		<dc:creator>Mr.X</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 29 Sep 2012 15:47:14 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.kurzweilai.net/?p=165162#comment-36196</guid>
		<description>Very nice and well thought out tldr post, Marcos.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Very nice and well thought out tldr post, Marcos.</p>
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		<title>By: anthony hadfiedl</title>
		<link>http://www.kurzweilai.net/the-rise-of-the-machines-now-the-bad-news/comment-page-1#comment-36193</link>
		<dc:creator>anthony hadfiedl</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 29 Sep 2012 15:44:28 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.kurzweilai.net/?p=165162#comment-36193</guid>
		<description>Also and maybe more important, is the geopolitical/geotechnological rise of India, and more particularly China. Eventually the US WILL be left in the dust. The US is entering an era somewhat akin the the fall of the Roman empire, which coincidentally will coincided with intelligent machines in the 2030-2040 period.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Also and maybe more important, is the geopolitical/geotechnological rise of India, and more particularly China. Eventually the US WILL be left in the dust. The US is entering an era somewhat akin the the fall of the Roman empire, which coincidentally will coincided with intelligent machines in the 2030-2040 period.</p>
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		<title>By: anthony hadfiedl</title>
		<link>http://www.kurzweilai.net/the-rise-of-the-machines-now-the-bad-news/comment-page-1#comment-36187</link>
		<dc:creator>anthony hadfiedl</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 29 Sep 2012 15:39:19 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.kurzweilai.net/?p=165162#comment-36187</guid>
		<description>I think its one step at a time. As AI increases via improved processors, so does advanced robotics. Well there are two questions really. What happens when machines are just as intelligent as current humans, and what happens when robots can pretty much do any job on the planet. So we all buy a robotic avatar, send it to work and retire ??</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I think its one step at a time. As AI increases via improved processors, so does advanced robotics. Well there are two questions really. What happens when machines are just as intelligent as current humans, and what happens when robots can pretty much do any job on the planet. So we all buy a robotic avatar, send it to work and retire ??</p>
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