press | Axios •

January 1, 2000

publication: Axios
story title:

by: Ina Fried

 

Technology pioneer Ray Kurzweil predicted Friday that universal basic income, a controversial notion today, will be common throughout the developed world by the early 2030s and globally by the end of that decade.

Why it matters: With the combination of automation and artificial intelligence, there has been wide concern over how society will deal with massive job disruption.

Speaking at the * TED conference, Kurzweil said that people will actually have more than their fundamental needs met through universal basic income.

“You will be able to live very well on that,” he said.

Interestingly enough, the date Kurzweil picks for the advent of basic income is right about the same time he sees AI taking over.

Around 2029, he has projected, AI will pass the Turing Test: a panel of human judges won’t be able to tell whether the being they are conversing with is human or computer.

In the 2030s, he said, “we will merge with the intelligent technology we are creating.” He said the human neocortex will connect with cloud-based intelligence.

“We will have an indefinite expansion of our neocortex.

 

That, he said, will lead to new forms of expression, such as music, that will be as different from today’s communication as current human expression is from that of primates.

Asked how the US and other countries would pay for a basic income, given existing large deficits, Kurzweil predicted that massive deflation would make goods much cheaper.

Separately: Kurzweil debuted a new Google project called “Talk to Books,” a new free tool that allows people to use their voice to ask a question and that will go find the best answers from hundreds of thousands of books.

Unlike traditional search, it is based on semantics, not keywords.

* TED is Technology Entertainment Design conference