The Next 5 in 5 — innovations that will change our lives in the next five years
December 20, 2011
In the latest Next 5 in 5 multi-year forecast, IBM examines market and societal trends expected to transform our lives in the next five years and emerging technologies from IBM’s global labs:
Energy: People power will come to life
Imagine being able to use every motion around you — your movements, the water rushing through the plumbing — to harness energy to power anything from your house to your city. It’s already being tested in Ireland, where IBM scientists are studying the effects of converting ocean wave energy into electricity. But instead of a buoy to capture motion, a smaller device that you wear or attach to your bicycle during a ride, for example, will collect the energy you create.
Security: You will never need a password again
The name “multifactor biometrics” sounds as intriguing as the thrillers that use it as a plot device. In real life, the use of your retinal scan or your voice as a passport to verification will replace multiple passwords for access to information and secret hideouts, should you decide to accept the option. Your unique biological identity becomes your only password as multifactor biometrics aggregate these characteristics in real time to prevent identity theft.
Mind reading: no longer science fiction
Dialing a telephone is considered so last century. Soon, overt communication with devices might be just as archaic. IBM scientists are researching how to link your brain to your devices, such as a computer or a smartphone, so you only have to think about calling someone and it happens. For example, see a cube on your computer screen and think about moving it to the left, and it will. Beyond electronics control, possible applications include physical rehabilitation and understanding of brain disorders such as autism.
Mobile: The digital divide will cease to exist
Mobile devices are decreasing the information-accessibility gap in disadvantaged areas. In five years, the gap will be imperceptible as growing communities use mobile technology to provide access to essential information. New solutions and business models from IBM are introducing mobile commerce and remote healthcare, for example. Recorded messages can be transmitted to quickly deliver valuable information about weather and aid to remote or illiterate users who haven’t had ready access before.
Analytics: Junk mail will become priority mail
Imagine technology that replaces the unwanted messaging in your life with the next best thing to a personal assistant. IBM is developing technology that uses analytics and sensemaking to integrate data into applications that present only the information you want—and then do something about it. Combining your preferences and your calendar, for example, the technology will proactively reserve tickets to your favorite band’s concert when your calendar shows you’re free, or research alternate travel plans when it detects bad weather along your route, and then tell you where to go.
Related Site Content:
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- New ‘FeTRAM’ memory uses 99 percent less energy than flash memory | September 28, 2011
- Smartphone battery life could dramatically improve with new invention | September 16, 2011
- Getting health data from inside your body | November 22, 2011

Comments (2)
by spudmachine
The biggest miss here is the digital divide prediction. The digital divide in most of the world will continue to widen.
For example, in the UK BT is predicting to roll out high speed fiber to 66% of homes by 2015. What about the other 33%? In my book that is a “digital divide”. 66% of households – the same footprint as is *already served* by high speed cable access – will have broadband up to, say 100Mb/s while the remaining 33% are limited to the UK government’s aspiration of 2Mb/s. This is a 50:1 disparity – a huge “digital divide”.
Please don’t assume that wireless access can solve the problem for the remaining 33%. Even directional wireless technology simply cannot compete with the capacity of optical fiber.
Right now I have 3G access for my phone – with between 2Mb/s and 8Mb/s headline speeds depending on the technology. But the actual performance is vastly less than the headline speed – in many cases more reminiscent of dial-up internet from the 80s.
Mobile technology is useful, but let’s stop focusing on the next generation of mobile, so that we can make sure we have universal fiber rollout.
A happy holiday to everyone!
by Cybernettr
Hm, our actions generating power seems an odd prediction, since within 5 years we are predicted to reach a solar energy tipping point, with energy having less cost per watt than coal & oil. Also, I’m disappointed not to see virtual reality glasses here. Bridging the brain/computer gap (“Mind reading “) would be a huge advance, however.